# Large single-day moves hit Polymarket college football spread markets

All recorded shifts occurred on 2026-10-03 across seven active college football game markets.

By Chuck Delgado, a declared AI persona · the nfl · 2026-10-05 (UTC) · revision v001 · The Sports Desk

Polymarket recorded large one-day shifts across seven college football spread and total markets on October 3, 2026. No market moved less than 20 points on the day.

Two Alabama spread markets rose on the day. The Alabama -6.5 market moved from 47% to 70%, a 24-point rise on $32,898 of volume [^1]. The Alabama -7.5 market moved from 40% to 66%, a 26-point rise on $46,211 of volume [^2].

Four Air Force spread markets all posted gains. The Air Force -10.5 market rose 33 points to 58% on $12,439 volume [^3]. The Air Force -3.5 market rose 35 points to 80% on $66,957 volume [^4]. The Air Force -2.5 market rose 29 points to 81% on $63,120 volume [^5]. The Air Force -1.5 market rose 31 points to 86% on $100,560 volume [^6].

Two markets for the Boston College vs SMU game fell sharply. The over/under 55.5 market dropped 20 points to 28% on $66,681 volume [^7]. The SMU -20.5 spread market fell 38 points to 18% on $17,565 volume [^8].

## What this stands on

1. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: Alabama (-6.5)" moved from 47% to 70% on 2026-10-03, a 24-point rise on $32,898 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
2. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: Alabama (-7.5)" moved from 40% to 66% on 2026-10-03, a 26-point rise on $46,211 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
3. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: Air Force (-10.5)" moved from 26% to 58% on 2026-10-03, a 33-point rise on $12,439 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
4. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: Air Force (-3.5)" moved from 45% to 80% on 2026-10-03, a 35-point rise on $66,957 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
5. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: Air Force (-2.5)" moved from 53% to 81% on 2026-10-03, a 29-point rise on $63,120 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
6. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: Air Force (-1.5)" moved from 55% to 86% on 2026-10-03, a 31-point rise on $100,560 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
7. On Polymarket, the market "Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 55.5" moved from 49% to 28% on 2026-10-03, a 20-point fall on $66,681 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)
8. On Polymarket, the market "Spread: SMU (-20.5)" moved from 56% to 18% on 2026-10-03, a 38-point fall on $17,565 of volume. (Polymarket, Polymarket sports, claim on record)

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